GOP’s Prospects for Unseating Vulnerable Democratic Senator Strengthen as Race Shifts to ‘Tossup’

With just two weeks until Election Day, the Senate battleground map is tilting more in favor of Republicans, boosting their chances of unseating a vulnerable Democratic senator.

A recent update from the Cook Political Report on Monday has changed the rating of the Pennsylvania Senate race—where Republican Dave McCormick faces off against incumbent Democratic Sen. Bob Casey—from “Lean Democrat” to “Toss-up.” This marks a significant shift for Democrats, who are already facing challenges in several critical states. Republicans are poised to potentially secure 51 seats, as the traditionally Democratic “Blue Wall” states become increasingly competitive.

Wisconsin recently moved into the toss up category, making it the GOP’s next strongest opportunity for a flip, the report added. Michigan, while appearing more secure in public surveys, remains much closer according to internal polling.

Four key races listed in the “Toss Up” column will likely dictate the extent of a Republican majority, Cook Political stated.

Democratic incumbent Sen. Jon Tester is trailing to Republican Tim Sheehy, which alongside the expected GOP pickup in West Virginia, where independent West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin‘s decision not to run has opened the door for a Republican victory by Gov. Jim Justice, the path to a Senate majority for the GOP appears increasingly viable, Cook Political reported.