Trump's chances of winning the Electoral College are improving as polls in traditionally blue states begin to swing in his favor.

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Trump's chances of winning the Electoral College are improving as polls in traditionally blue states begin to swing in his favor.

Former President Donald Trump’s chances of winning the Electoral College in the upcoming November election have strengthened, buoyed by a recent poll showing him leading in Michigan.

A model from J.L. Partners indicates Trump has a 58.8% likelihood of securing the Electoral College, compared to Vice President Kamala Harris at 41.1%. This shift follows a poll from Michigan News Source and MIRS that shows Trump gaining traction in the state. Earlier polling from The New York Times and Siena College had suggested a tight race in Michigan, a crucial battleground.

“Things continue to move against Harris—Trump’s win probability has increased by another two points since last week, widening the gap to nearly 18 points,” said Callum Hunter, a data scientist at J.L. Partners, as reported by the Daily Mail.

“The shift in Michigan is significant and represents a major setback for the Harris campaign. However, new polls this week could potentially adjust this favorable trend for Trump,” Hunter added.