Harris vs. Trump latest presidential poll: Who is ahead? New numbers show a tight race
Harris vs. Trump latest presidential poll: Who is ahead? New numbers show a tight race
The 2024 presidential election is shaping up to be a close race. A recent ABC News/Ipsos poll reveals that Vice President Kamala Harris holds a narrow lead over former President Donald Trump, with 50% of registered voters supporting Harris compared to 48% for Trump. Among all adults, regardless of registration, the margin is even tighter at 49% for Harris and 48% for Trump.
In the previous ABC/Ipsos poll from September, Harris was ahead by 4 points among registered voters and by 5 points among likely voters.
Economic issues remain the top concern for voters, which could favor Trump. He leads Harris by 8 points on who voters trust to manage the economy (46% to 38%) and by 7 points regarding inflation (44% to 37%). However, 42% of voters believe Harris is better for the middle class, compared to 37% for Trump.
Trump also holds slight leads in handling crime and safety, national security, and conflicts in the Middle East, while Harris is viewed more favorably for “protecting American democracy.”
Both candidates face challenges with their favorability ratings. Forty-four percent of respondents view Harris positively, while only 35% feel the same about Trump. Harris's favorability dropped by 3 points, with 47% now viewing her unfavorably, whereas 58% of voters have an unfavorable opinion of Trump.
Regarding ideological perceptions, 48% of respondents consider Harris “too liberal,” while 43% see Trump as “too conservative.” About 41% view Harris as ideologically “about right,” as do 43% for Trump.
In traditional Republican strongholds, Trump leads comfortably at 55% to 42%, while in blue states, Harris has a significant lead of 56% to 39%. However, in seven key battleground states—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—the race is essentially tied at 49% for each candidate.
The ABC News/Ipsos poll was conducted from October 4 to 8, involving a random sample of 2,631 adults, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.